Air–sea interaction amplified by tropical cyclones break the South China Sea summer monsoon
编号:99 稿件编号:213 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2025-03-26 14:33:56 浏览:105次 特邀报告

报告开始:2025年04月18日 16:15 (Asia/Shanghai)

报告时间:15min

所在会议:[S1-5] 专题1.5 东亚季风短期气候预测及机理 » [S1-5] 专题1.5 东亚季风短期气候预测及机理

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摘要
Summer monsoon breaks can have far-reaching impacts by triggering abnormal weather both locally and remotely. However, their formation mechanisms remain incompletely understood, with intraseasonal oscillations (ISOs) widely recognized as a primary driver. This study investigates South China Sea monsoon break events and finds that 72.9% originate from the Philippine Sea, associated with ISOs, while the residual 27.1% are locally generated, which have yet to be elucidated previously. Our results suggest that these locally generated events are often preceded by anomalously active tropical cyclones, which amplify in situ air–sea interaction, inducing SST cooling that increases large-scale atmospheric stability, thereby promoting monsoon break establishment. Moreover, differing from ISO-related monsoon breaks that increase precipitation over the Yangtze River Valley, locally generated breaks induce significant warming over South China. The diverse mechanisms and climate impacts of monsoon breaks revealed in this study may provide new insights for further improvement of subseasonal predictions.
 
关键字
South China Sea summer monsoon,monsoon break,intraseasonal variability,tropical cyclone
报告人
许可
副研究员 中国科学院大气物理研究所

稿件作者
许可 中国科学院大气物理研究所
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