Unraveling the roles of jet streams on the unprecedented hot July in Western Europe in 2022
编号:445 稿件编号:611 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2025-03-29 09:38:34 浏览:90次 特邀报告

报告开始:2025年04月19日 15:15 (Asia/Shanghai)

报告时间:15min

所在会议:[S1-11] 专题1.11 极端气候事件的形成机理与预测技术 » [S1-11] 专题1.11 极端气候事件的形成机理与预测技术

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摘要
Western Europe experienced an unprecedentedly hot July in 2022, which significantly impacted ecosystems and society. Our observational and numerical modeling study reveals that this event was influenced by anomalous North Atlantic and Eurasian jet streams. The northeastward shift of the North Atlantic jet stream, driven by sea surface temperature gradients, and the curving of the Eurasian jet stream, affected by rainfall anomalies in Pakistan, enhanced atmospheric subsidence over western Europe. This research highlights the crucial role of the synergistic behavior of the North Atlantic and Eurasian jet streams in driving extreme heat over Western Europe. Furthermore, CMIP6 climate model projections suggest that under the SSP585 scenario, similar jet stream configurations could lead to even more intense extreme temperatures (~7.02 ± 0.61 °C) compared to the current climatological mean.
关键字
Heatwaves,Jet stream,Pakistan rainfall
报告人
郑佳喻
副研究员 中国科学院南海海洋研究所

稿件作者
郑佳喻 中国科学院南海海洋研究所
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