东亚夏季风降水与同期ENSO关系的年代际变化
编号:216 稿件编号:657 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2025-03-27 11:44:52 浏览:115次 口头报告

报告开始:2025年04月18日 16:48 (Asia/Shanghai)

报告时间:12min

所在会议:[S1-4] 专题1.4 气候变化下季风系统演化及其机理 » [S1-4] 专题1.4 气候变化下季风系统演化及其机理

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摘要
The Interdecadal changes in the relationship between East Asian Summer Monsoon Precipitation (EASMP) and the concurrent El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO) vary across subregions, making it challenging to holistically understand these variations and the underlying mechanisms. To address this issue, we apply the moving correlation Empirical Orthogonal Function (MC‐EOF) between EASMP and ENSO, identifying a meridional tri‐pole pattern in the interdecadal variation of their relationship. The primary driver of this pattern is the summer Tropical North Atlantic (TNA) sea surface temperature, which has shifted from being uncorrelated to exhibiting a strong negative correlation with concurrent ENSO since the late 1980s. Consequently, the TNA's influence on EASMP combines with ENSO's effects, altering the EASMP pattern during ENSO events. This conclusion is supported by two observations: (a) the moving correlation series between TNA and ENSO aligns with the time series of MC‐EOF‐1, and (b) the MC‐EOF‐1 pattern spatially matches the TNA's impact on EASMP.
关键字
East Asian Summer Monsoon,ENSO,interdecadal change,Northern Tropical Atlantic,Precipitation
报告人
范磊
副教授 中国海洋大学

稿件作者
范磊 中国海洋大学
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